Fatima vs União de Coimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
51%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
13º
11º
5
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 52 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 43 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 38 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 36 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 33 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 33 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 31 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 17 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 14 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 61.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation
|
56.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 1
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
FAT
57%
24%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
ALC
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
FAT
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
COI
6%
12%
83%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 1
COI
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COI
2 - 2
BMA
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COI
3 - 2
SER
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COI
1 - 1
POM
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |