Fatima vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAT
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
FAT
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FAT
2 - 0
VAR
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CIN
1 - 0
FAT
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FAT
0 - 1
EST
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 0
CAR
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
TRO
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 4
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |