Fatima vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FAT
2 - 2
PEN
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 0
FAT
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
AVE
0 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FAT
3 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 2
AVE
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
SPC
24%
29%
47%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
SPB
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 0
VST
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 1
TRO
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |