Fatima vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ELE
1 - 2
FAT
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 1
LOU
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FAT
0 - 0
SAC
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SIN
1 - 2
FAT
44%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FAT
3 - 0
COR
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SER
6 - 1
FAL
89%
9%
3%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLE
1 - 0
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SER
5 - 0
FAV
80%
13%
6%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 2
SER
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |