Fatima vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
32%
26%
41%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 5
FAT
23%
25%
53%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FAT
3 - 1
ATL
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 2
FAT
29%
27%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
32%
26%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 1
SER
57%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
JUV
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAF
2 - 2
SER
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |