Fatima vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 2
FAT
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAT
50%
28%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FAT
1 - 0
AVE
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
FAT
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FAT
0 - 0
GFC
38%
28%
33%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
POR
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 3
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SCF
0 - 3
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
POR
1 - 3
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |