Fatima vs Pombal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
13º
3º
21
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 42 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 41 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 34 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 29 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 21 |
13º
|
41% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 19 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 56.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
FAT
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FAT
3 - 0
FCA
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 0
COI
23%
26%
51%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
FAT
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
POM
0 - 1
BEN
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
POM
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
POM
1 - 0
ALC
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
POM
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
POM
1 - 1
MAR
81%
12%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |