Fatima vs Pombal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
SER
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 5
FAT
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FAT
3 - 1
ATL
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 2
POM
58%
21%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
POM
2 - 1
BEN
30%
25%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 2
POM
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
POM
5 - 0
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
4 - 1
POM
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |