Fatima vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 0
FAT
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
AVE
0 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FAT
3 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 1
FAT
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 0
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SCP
3 - 0
PEN
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FEI
1 - 1
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPC
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AVE
3 - 2
PEN
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |