Fatima vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 1
SER
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 2
FAT
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FAT
1 - 0
BEN
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UDL
0 - 3
FAT
69%
19%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OPE
7 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SER
1 - 3
OPE
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ANM
1 - 5
OPE
10%
19%
71%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
OPE
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |