Fatima vs Mação analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FAT
0 - 2
LUS
73%
17%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 1
FAT
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FAT
1 - 1
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PRA
0 - 1
FAT
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 1
SAC
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mação
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RMA
2 - 3
MAC
29%
23%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 2
CAR
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 5
MAC
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 2
CDA
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UCH
0 - 1
MAC
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |