Fatima vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
FAT
55%
27%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
FAT
1 - 1
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FAT
1 - 2
FEI
36%
29%
36%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
FAT
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LEX
3 - 0
FAT
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 1
GFC
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
EST
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
GFC
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
BMA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 2
VAR
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |