Fatima vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
36%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
SCP
1 - 2
FAT
93%
5%
1%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
FAT
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
FAT
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
FAT
4 - 2
FCP
4%
15%
81%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
FAT
3 - 2
GON
32%
28%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
GFC
2 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
GON
1 - 1
GFC
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
GFC
1 - 0
FEI
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 0
GFC
52%
26%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
GFC
1 - 1
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |