Fatima vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAT
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FAT
1 - 1
BMA
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FAT
4 - 2
BEL
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAT
52%
28%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FAT
1 - 0
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
RIO
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
SCP
20%
26%
55%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
PEN
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
EST
3 - 1
SPC
53%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |