Fatima vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FAT
0 - 3
VIT
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAF
1 - 0
FAT
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FAT
4 - 0
ATL
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 14 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
FAT
26%
26%
49%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALC
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
TOR
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
LOU
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |