Fatima vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 1
FAT
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 2
FAR
22%
28%
50%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
FAT
52%
25%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
OEI
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PIN
2 - 0
FAT
32%
26%
43%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 4
MAF
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
1DE
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
ORI
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
QUA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 1
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |