Fatima vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 5
FAT
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FAT
3 - 1
ATL
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 2
FAT
29%
27%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FAT
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FAT
1 - 0
PIN
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
PIN
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAF
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
EVN
72%
17%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |