Fatima vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAT
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAT
2 - 2
UDL
22%
24%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
FAT
0 - 0
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
FAT
69%
20%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
FAT
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SER
0 - 1
CAL
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
5 - 1
ALC
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ELE
1 - 0
CAL
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 2
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |