Fatima vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
SCP
3 - 2
FAT
94%
5%
1%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2000 |
FAR
3 - 1
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
BEL
1 - 0
MAR
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
CAM
0 - 1
BEL
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 0
PAÇ
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |