Fatima vs Atlético Ouriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 1
UDL
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ELE
2 - 0
FAT
46%
26%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FAT
1 - 1
TOR
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 2
FAT
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Ouriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
TOR
28%
25%
48%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ATL
5 - 3
ALC
22%
22%
56%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +5 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 6
SER
18%
23%
60%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UDL
5 - 1
ATL
74%
18%
9%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
ELE
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +4 |