Fatima vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PRA
3 - 2
FAT
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FAT
0 - 3
CHA
10%
17%
74%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 2
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
1DE
1 - 0
FAT
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FAT
4 - 2
ELE
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 2
SAC
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 5
ALC
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
COR
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SCG
2 - 1
ALC
9%
15%
77%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ALC
3 - 1
PER
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |