Fatima vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 1
ALC
42%
25%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ELE
0 - 0
FAT
56%
24%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FAT
0 - 5
MAF
27%
27%
46%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 4
FAT
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 1
CAL
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 1
ALC
42%
25%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
TOR
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
ELE
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |