Fatima vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
FAT
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FAT
3 - 2
SIN
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 0
FAT
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FAT
1 - 2
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ANA
1 - 0
FAT
49%
25%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ADN
0 - 1
BEN
29%
28%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 0
ADN
39%
27%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ADN
0 - 1
PEN
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
ADN
7%
14%
79%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ADN
2 - 2
OLE
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |