Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-7
Fatih Karagümrük vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
KAY
2 - 2
FAT
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
FAT
4 - 1
ANT
56%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 2
FAT
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IST
1 - 2
FAT
25%
26%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 2
FEN
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 1
TRA
33%
24%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 2
GFK
67%
19%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 2
FAT
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 2
TRA
32%
25%
44%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
SIV
55%
23%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |