Fatih Karagümrük vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
9º
18º
17º
67
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
102 | 102 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
99 | 99 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
18º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
37 | 37 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
16 | 19 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
FAT
2 - 0
ADA
39%
24%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 1
FAT
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FAT
2 - 3
KAS
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
FAT
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
FAT
0 - 0
HAT
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 0
ALA
60%
21%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ADA
1 - 0
TRA
50%
22%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 1
PEN
75%
17%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
HAT
3 - 2
TRA
14%
20%
66%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
3 - 0
BJK
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |