Fatih Karagümrük vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.1%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
7.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
8.4%
5-0
11.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
13.5%
4-0
14.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
18.2%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.2%
3.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
3.9%
0.8%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
4 - 0
ADA
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
FAT
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
4 - 0
SAK
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 0
IST
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
FAT
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
TBP
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TBP
1 - 0
VBK
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
AHP
0 - 0
TBP
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TBP
1 - 0
ELA
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KBS
0 - 0
TBP
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |