Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
FAT
2 - 3
SIV
18%
24%
59%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
KAY
4 - 1
FAT
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
TUR
0 - 0
FAT
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
FAT
1 - 1
ADA
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
SAR
2 - 1
FAT
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Samsunspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
DIY
3 - 0
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 4
TRA
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ANK
0 - 1
SAM
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SAM
2 - 4
BJK
27%
25%
49%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SAK
4 - 2
SAM
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |