Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
18º
1º
33
1º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
39 | 72 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 70 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 59 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 59 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 59 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 58 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 57 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 55 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 55 |
10º
|
3.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 54 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 53 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 52 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 52 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 50 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 49 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 48 |
17º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 47 |
18º
|
26% | |
|
19º
|
19 | 31 |
19º
|
96.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 38% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
KEC
0 - 1
FAT
28%
25%
48%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
UMR
1 - 2
FAT
25%
23%
52%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 2
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 0
FAT
25%
25%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
FAT
3 - 0
SAR
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Pendikspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
IST
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
PEN
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 0
SAK
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 1
PEN
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
UMR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |