Fatih Karagümrük vs Nazilli Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAT
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
1 - 2
FAT
36%
26%
37%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FAT
3 - 0
KAH
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ZON
1 - 0
FAT
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FAT
1 - 2
GUM
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nazilli Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NAZ
1 - 6
ALT
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
FET
2 - 0
NAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NIG
1 - 1
NAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NAZ
1 - 0
KAH
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |