Fatih Karagümrük vs Mersin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
DIY
0 - 1
FAT
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 2
KOR
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ANK
2 - 3
FAT
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
FAT
0 - 0
MAN
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
FAT
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ESK
3 - 2
MER
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MER
1 - 3
FEN
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 1
MER
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
IST
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAZ
1 - 0
MER
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |