Fatih Karagümrük vs Afjet Afyonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 1
FAT
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FAT
3 - 0
SEK
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
BUG
1 - 4
FAT
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 0
KIR
43%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ZON
3 - 1
FAT
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Afjet Afyonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
AAF
1 - 4
GFK
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
DEN
3 - 0
AAF
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
AAF
4 - 4
ESK
33%
22%
45%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AAF
5 - 0
KAR
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 0
AAF
62%
24%
15%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |