Copa Do Brasil U20 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 2-11
Fast Sub17 vs Sport Recife Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
79%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Sub17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
NFC
3 - 1
AEC
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
AEC
0 - 0
NFC
32%
22%
47%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
NFC
4 - 1
DIA
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
CRB
2 - 5
RFE
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
RFE
4 - 1
CRB
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
RFE
3 - 2
CSP
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 3
RFE
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
RFE
2 - 5
PAL
9%
13%
78%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -2 |