Fast Clube vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
68.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAS
3 - 1
PRI
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
FAS
2 - 1
RIO
79%
15%
7%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAS
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
FAS
0 - 0
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 1
FAS
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
3 - 3
VIL
11%
16%
74%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
APA
1 - 2
VIL
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
ANA
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |