Copa Verde Last 16
Global 2-4
Fast Clube vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
VIL
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAS
3 - 1
PRI
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
FAS
2 - 1
RIO
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAS
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
FAS
0 - 0
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
VAS
5%
13%
82%
|
29 | 76 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
TDC
1 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
ECM
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECM
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
SEC
0 - 2
SAN
22%
22%
55%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |