Série D Brazil Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 3-3
Fast Clube vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 2
FAS
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
GAL
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 2
FAS
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FAS
2 - 1
BPA
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
FAS
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 2
FAS
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 0
BAR
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SIN
0 - 0
MOT
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 1
ALT
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |