Fast Clube vs Independiente PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BPA
3 - 1
FAS
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FAS
0 - 0
RIO
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
GAL
1 - 5
FAS
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
FAS
26%
24%
49%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
FAS
0 - 3
MAN
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
IND
0 - 2
GAL
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
IND
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
IND
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
BPA
2 - 0
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |