Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-4
Fast Clube vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
FAS
2 - 0
SAO
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FAS
5 - 2
SUL
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FAS
1 - 2
OPE
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 1
PEN
46%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
FAS
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 5
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
77%
15%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 0
FOR
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
CEA
35%
25%
39%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |