Fast Clube vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
YAP
1 - 1
FAS
27%
26%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 0
SAO
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAS
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FAS
1 - 0
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 2
FAS
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
MOT
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 0
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 5
CAS
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |