Fasil Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fasil Kenema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AWK
3 - 3
KET
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
KET
0 - 0
ETB
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
MEH
1 - 2
KET
35%
27%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
KET
0 - 0
ETH
41%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 0
KET
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopian Insurance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ETH
3 - 2
BAH
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 2
HAD
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
ADK
3 - 0
ETH
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
KET
0 - 0
ETH
41%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 1
ETB
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |