Città di Fasano vs Mariglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LAV
0 - 3
ASF
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ASF
1 - 1
CAS
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AUD
3 - 1
ASF
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FBC
1 - 1
ASF
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 2
ASF
93%
5%
1%
|
34 | 73 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Mariglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASD
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
SOR
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |