Città di Fasano vs Virtus Matino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASF
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ASF
2 - 0
LAV
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 3
ASF
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASF
3 - 3
AUD
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASF
5 - 2
FBC
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Virtus Matino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PVM
2 - 1
HYR
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MOL
5 - 0
PVM
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PVM
2 - 0
SOR
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
PVM
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
PVM
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |