Città di Fasano vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SOR
2 - 1
ASF
43%
25%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ASF
0 - 1
ASD
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 1
ASF
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ASF
0 - 1
ROT
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
USB
3 - 0
ASF
59%
22%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 3
AUD
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 0
NOC
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
NOC
1 - 3
CAS
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
NOC
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 0
NAR
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |