FAS vs Once Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
8º
5º
31
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FAS
2 - 0
JOC
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
FAS
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
FAS
1 - 0
AGU
29%
25%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FAS
3 - 1
CDD
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
3 - 2
FAS
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
MET
2 - 1
ONC
49%
26%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 1
FAS
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ONC
0 - 2
ALI
18%
24%
59%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
ONC
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |