FAS vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
7º
5º
39
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 0
FAS
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 0
CDP
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
FAS
18%
25%
57%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
JOC
50%
27%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 3
FAS
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MET
2 - 3
MUN
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 1
CDD
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 0
MUN
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MUN
5 - 0
CDP
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 1
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |