FAS vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
12º
2º
28
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
FIR
0 - 2
FAS
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ONC
0 - 2
FAS
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 1
FAS
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
CDP
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 2
ALI
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 3
MET
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
JOC
1 - 0
MUN
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
MUN
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 2
MUN
15%
22%
62%
|
59 | 18 | 41 | 0 |