FAS vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 3
FAS
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FAS
4 - 1
ONC
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAS
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FAS
0 - 2
MET
40%
25%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 2
FAS
47%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 1
UES
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 2
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 3
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUV
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |