FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FAS
2 - 1
AGU
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
FAS
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FAS
1 - 0
UES
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SFC
1 - 2
FAS
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
FAS
1 - 0
CDD
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 3
ALI
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
ALI
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
PAS
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |