FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VIS
1 - 0
FAS
36%
27%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
FAS
1 - 1
MET
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
FAS
1 - 0
AGU
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FIR
1 - 2
FAS
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 2
FAS
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 1
AGU
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 0
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 2
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MET
2 - 1
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |