Farvagny / Ogoz vs Grünstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TPA
1 - 1
FAR
74%
14%
11%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
COL
2 - 2
FAR
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 1
LAC
8%
15%
78%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
FAR
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 1
GUM
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 0
COL
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ECH
0 - 1
GRU
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 3
COL
31%
23%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GUM
4 - 3
GRU
41%
22%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 3
BER
46%
23%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |