Farvagny / Ogoz vs Colombier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 1
VAL
50%
22%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ECH
0 - 4
FAR
36%
22%
43%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 2
BUL
12%
19%
70%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FAR
1 - 0
RIC
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
THI
0 - 4
FAR
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
COL
0 - 0
BUL
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TPA
4 - 1
COL
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
THI
2 - 0
COL
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
COL
2 - 4
RIC
79%
13%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 2
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |